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April 23, 2020
2020-1087

Social Security Administration publishes wage base projections for 2021 through 2029

For those responsible for employment tax budgets, or just curious what the future may hold, following are the estimated Social Security wage base limits for employers and employees for calendar years 2021 through 2029 as recently published by the Social Security Administration (SSA). (The 2020 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of the Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds, April 22, 2020, Table V.C.I, pg. 118)

In reviewing the chart shown on the following page, keep in mind that the SSA provides three estimates — high, intermediate and low. For 2020, the actual wage base is $137,700, higher than the projected intermediate and high-cost estimate of $136,800 and higher than the low- cost estimate of $137,100 in the April 2019 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees. The April 2020 projections reflect an increase in 2021 to $141,900 (intermediate and high cost) and $142,200 (low cost).

Projections concerning length of trust funds' solvency

The Trustees Report states that the will have dedicated resources sufficient to cover benefits until 2034, the same as predicted last year, and the combined OASI fund will last until 2035, also the same as last year's report. The Disability Insurance (DI) Trust Fund is projected to be depleted in 2065, 13 years later than predicted last year. (Social Security Administration, Summary: Actuarial Status of the Social Security Trust Funds, April 2020.)

The wage base projections are provided on the next page.

Projected Social Security wage base information as provided by the SSA in April 2020

Calendar year

Intermediate estimated wage base $

Low-cost estimated wage base $

High-cost estimated wage base $

2020

137,700

137,700

137,700

2021

141,900

142,200

141,900

2022

147,000

148,800

144,300

2023

153,600

157,500

144,600

2024

159,900

166,200

149,100

2025

165,900

174,600

153,900

2026

172,200

183,300

158,700

2027

178,800

192,300

163,500

2028

185,700

201,900

168,600

2029

192,900

212,400

173,700

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Contact Information
For additional information concerning this Alert, please contact:
 
Workforce Tax Services - Employment Tax Advisory Services
   • Kenneth Hausser (kenneth.hausser@ey.com)
   • Debera Salam (debera.salam@ey.com)
   • Kristie Lowery (kristie.lowery@ey.com)
   • Peter Berard (peter.berard@ey.com)

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