May 26, 2023
What to expect in Washington (May 26)
Debt limit discussions between House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and President Biden and their staffs are looking up but complicated by whether the various factions of the parties — conservative Republicans and progressive Democrats especially — can provide sufficient support for any emerging deal, and how fast one can be processed through the two chambers. Regarding a main plank of the negotiations, government spending, Punchbowl reported that negotiators are discussing a mechanism to impose an automatic continuing resolution (CR) at agreed-upon spending caps if all 12 funding bills aren't passed by the end of the fiscal year, to accompany a debt limit increase lasting beyond the 2024 elections.
"The expectation is that negotiators will hammer out top line numbers for discretionary spending, including a number for military spending, but leave lawmakers to hammer out the fine details of categories like housing and education through the normal appropriations process in the months ahead … " Reuters reported. "The end result would likely just put guardrails on future budget talks, not spell out detailed spending."
Tax has long been a thread of the negotiations: House Republicans passed a bill to roll back most Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) clean energy breaks, though that stands little chance of enactment, but GOP negotiators wouldn't entertain Biden budget proposals including those to apply wash sale rules to cryptocurrency, repeal deferral of gain from Section 1031 like-kind exchanges and increase taxes on carried interest. However, reports suggest that chipping away at the IRA boost for IRS funding may be on the table.
"It would impose caps on discretionary spending for two years, though those caps would apply differently to spending on the military than to other nondefense discretionary spending. Spending on the military would grow next year, as would spending on some veterans' care that falls under nondefense discretionary spending. The rest of nondefense discretionary spending would fall slightly — or roughly stay flat from — this year's levels," the New York Times reported. "The deal would also roll back $10 billion of the $80 billion Congress approved last year for an I.R.S. crackdown on high earners and corporations that evade taxes."
Republicans are pushing for work requirements for federal programs that are opposed by Democrats and that proposal is said to be a sticking point. Politico summarized other parameters of the negotiations as:
It has long been observed that no faction in Congress would get everything they wanted from a debt limit deal, and some may be more dissatisfied than others. Senator Mike Lee (R-UT) tweeted May 25, "I will use every procedural tool at my disposal to impede a debt-ceiling deal that doesn't contain substantial spending and budgetary reforms. I fear things are moving in that direction. If they do, that proposal will not face smooth sailing in the Senate."
How soon a deal can be sealed is unclear, as is how long it would take to be processed in Congress. The House is now out and scheduled to be in recess next week but is expected to be called back to vote after language is drafted, which could take days after details are nailed down. Some observed that House passage would be required mid-week next week for Senate procedural hurdles to be cleared for enactment by or over the June 3-4 weekend, which is beyond the June 1 deadline maintained by Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen. Given that reality, the Washington Post reported, "The Treasury Department has asked federal agencies whether they can make upcoming payments at a later date … as senior Biden officials search for fresh ways to conserve cash and prevent the U.S. government from facing an unprecedented default. With a deadline looming in less than two weeks, the White House is looking for ways to buy more time … "
Tax — House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Jason Smith (R-MO), joined by every Republican on the Committee, May 25 introduced legislation aimed at discouraging countries from adopting a key component of Pillar Two, the Undertaxed Profits Rule (UTPR), focusing on the potential impact on US multinational corporations that have an effective tax rate of less than 15% within the meaning of Pillar Two on their US profits because they've availed themselves of US tax incentives. The legislation would increase taxes on the US businesses of companies headquartered in countries that enact the UTPR, but it would also apply in the context of other taxes imposed on US businesses if those taxes meet a set of criteria deeming them to be either extraterritorial or discriminatory in nature.
Realistically, it is highly unlikely that this legislation will be enacted in this Congress as it would require bipartisan support and the support of the Biden administration. Still, Committee Republicans hope the introduction of the bill will encourage the OECD and the Inclusive Framework participants in Pillar Two to reconsider introduction of UTPRs in their own domestic legislation. An EY Tax Alert is available here.
An EY Alert, "New Zealand to adopt the OECD GloBE (Pillar Two) rules," is available here.
A Bloomberg Tax article by Kevin Flynn, EY Americas Vice Chair of Tax, discusses how businesses can position themselves to comply with the second phase of the global base erosion and profit shifting project, particularly its 15% global minimum tax. "Multinational enterprises are facing new and complex tax rules stemming from the OECD and G-20 countries' BEPS 2.0 project — particularly the project's Pillar Two 15% global minimum tax, which is set to apply to multinational groups with global revenue of more than €750 million ($829 million)," the article said. "Enforcing these rules will require unprecedented global cooperation between tax authorities, and implementation approaches likely will vary among jurisdictions adopting the rules, making compliance a challenge and creating the risk of controversy. Multinationals also will need to manage a substantial increase in data collection and tracking required to comply with these rules."
Accounting standards — The International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) on May 23 announced accounting reporting rules for addressing the application of OECD Pillar Two. The Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) will likely put out its own guidance at some point. The amendments give companies temporary relief from accounting for deferred taxes arising from the OECD's international tax reform.
The amendments will introduce:
Congress — The Senate, which has been out this week, is scheduled to return on Tuesday, May 30, at 3:00 p.m. A vote is scheduled at 5:30 p.m. on confirmation of the nomination of Darrel James Papillion to be United States District Judge for the Eastern District of Louisiana. The Foreign Relations Committee has noticed a June 1 (at 10:30 a.m.) business meeting on matters including the US-Chile tax treaty.